Free tool

Payout calculator

Enter a share price and stake to see exactly what a trade could return — and what it costs if you're wrong.

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Implied probability

The share price is the market's probability estimate. Buying at 30¢ means the crowd gives it a 30% chance — your job is deciding whether the real chance is higher.

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Risk vs. reward

Low-priced shares offer big multiples but lose often. High-priced shares win often but pay little. Neither is "better" — what matters is whether the price is wrong.

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Break-even

If you buy at 62¢, you must sell above 62¢ (after fees) to profit. Anything below is a loss — even if the event "almost" happened.